How central banks weigh the risk of inflation against the risk of slowing growth
Interest-rate decisions are a judgement about which mistake would be more costly. Here is how policymakers frame that choice.
Inflation, employment, trade, monetary policy and economic research.
Interest-rate decisions are a judgement about which mistake would be more costly. Here is how policymakers frame that choice.
There is no bankruptcy court for nations. Debt crises are instead resolved through slow, often painful negotiations shaped by contract terms, creditor diversity and the threat of lost market access.
Sanctions are meant to impose costs without firing a shot. Their effect depends less on the headline measures than on the plumbing of trade and finance beneath them.
The gap between short- and long-term interest rates is one of the most watched signals in finance. It is also one of the most misunderstood.
Our daily conversation about the stories shaping the world economy. This is a demonstration episode.
Tracing every supplier behind a product is harder than it sounds. A visual guide to the process.
Expansions and slowdowns follow one another. A visual primer on the forces that drive the rhythm.
Forward guidance, explained in a short conversation. This is a demonstration episode.
Efficiency once trumped everything. Now businesses are paying for resilience — and discovering how hard it is to buy.
Every health budget involves rationing, whether openly or not. Formal assessment methods try to make those choices consistent, transparent and defensible.
Insulating monetary policy from day-to-day politics has costs. Abandoning it would cost more.
What happens in the rooms where trade agreements are drafted. This is a demonstration episode.
Government budgets run to hundreds of pages. A few questions cut through to what actually matters.
Over the long run, almost nothing matters more for prosperity than producing more from the same effort. Yet statisticians struggle to capture what is actually being produced.
For most buyers, the price of a home is really the price of a loan. That link explains why property markets react sharply when borrowing costs change.
Exchange rates reflect interest rates, trade and confidence. A rising currency helps some parts of an economy and hurts others.